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Politik·Primer

FL-14 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-14 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Primer

FL-14 Republican Primary Winner

Kevin Steele 56%

Mike Beltran 42%

Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%

Michael Marcel <1%

Polymarket

$23,880 Vol.

Kevin Steele 56%

Mike Beltran 42%

Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%

Michael Marcel <1%

Polymarket

$23,880 Vol.

Kevin Steele

$5,496 Vol.

56%

Mike Beltran

$14,900 Vol.

42%

Ergin "Batman" Tek

$688 Vol.

<1%

Michael Marcel

$769 Vol.

<1%

John Peters

$592 Vol.

<1%

Robert "Rocky" Rochford

$574 Vol.

<1%

Gavriel Soriano

$335 Vol.

<1%

Bea Valenti

$525 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district features a crowded field in a seat redrawn to favor GOP voters. Kevin Steele holds a modest edge in trader consensus at 55.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Mike Beltran at 41.5 percent, while several other candidates sit near even money amid the multi-outcome structure. Recent internal polling shows the two state legislative veterans locked in a tight contest, with no other entrant reaching double digits and the race defined by overlapping conservative bases, local name recognition in the Tampa Bay area, and limited differentiation on key issues. Late endorsements, turnout among Pasco and Hillsborough voters, and any final-week campaign developments could shift support between the frontrunners before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$23,880
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district features a crowded field in a seat redrawn to favor GOP voters. Kevin Steele holds a modest edge in trader consensus at 55.5 percent implied probability, ahead of Mike Beltran at 41.5 percent, while several other candidates sit near even money amid the multi-outcome structure. Recent internal polling shows the two state legislative veterans locked in a tight contest, with no other entrant reaching double digits and the race defined by overlapping conservative bases, local name recognition in the Tampa Bay area, and limited differentiation on key issues. Late endorsements, turnout among Pasco and Hillsborough voters, and any final-week campaign developments could shift support between the frontrunners before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$23,880
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"FL-14 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Kevin Steele" di 56%, diikuti oleh "Mike Beltran" di 42%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "FL-14 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $23.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 23, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "FL-14 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "FL-14 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Kevin Steele" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Mike Beltran" di 42%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "FL-14 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.