Recent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 17?
14°C 99.6%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$30,664 Vol.
$30,664 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.6%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$30,664 Vol.
$30,664 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,693 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,642 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,152 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$3,563 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,965 Vol.
100%
15°C
$4,876 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,376 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,348 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,606 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$957 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$526 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$30,664Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,664Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMRecent European model consensus from KNMI and ECMWF places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature at 14°C under a steady northwesterly maritime airflow that maintains cloud cover and limits daytime heating. This positioning aligns with observed surface conditions at Schiphol station, where persistent marine influence keeps readings below typical mid-May climatological highs of 17–18°C. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data agreement, assigning over 99% implied probability to the 14°C outcome while recognizing modest uncertainty from potential afternoon clearing or slight model bias. Final resolution hinges on official hourly observations through the end of the day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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