Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport point to a daily high near 86–87°F under a warm, moist southerly flow and partial afternoon cloud cover that limits peak heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology in central Texas, where average highs hover around 85°F, while the modest 27.5% market-implied probability for 88°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover or slight model warm bias. With resolution tied to the official maximum observation, traders are closely monitoring the afternoon update from NOAA for any last adjustments in the steering pattern or dew-point profile that could nudge the reading across the 88°F threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on May 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 17?
86-87°F 77%
88°F or higher 25%
84-85°F <1%
$34,363 Vol.
$34,363 Vol.
May 17, 2026
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
77%
88°F or higher
25%
86-87°F 77%
88°F or higher 25%
84-85°F <1%
$34,363 Vol.
$34,363 Vol.
May 17, 2026
84-85°F
$4,526 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$4,995 Vol.
77%
88°F or higher
$6,279 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport point to a daily high near 86–87°F under a warm, moist southerly flow and partial afternoon cloud cover that limits peak heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology in central Texas, where average highs hover around 85°F, while the modest 27.5% market-implied probability for 88°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover or slight model warm bias. With resolution tied to the official maximum observation, traders are closely monitoring the afternoon update from NOAA for any last adjustments in the steering pattern or dew-point profile that could nudge the reading across the 88°F threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$34,363Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport point to a daily high near 86–87°F under a warm, moist southerly flow and partial afternoon cloud cover that limits peak heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology in central Texas, where average highs hover around 85°F, while the modest 27.5% market-implied probability for 88°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover or slight model warm bias. With resolution tied to the official maximum observation, traders are closely monitoring the afternoon update from NOAA for any last adjustments in the steering pattern or dew-point profile that could nudge the reading across the 88°F threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,363Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport point to a daily high near 86–87°F under a warm, moist southerly flow and partial afternoon cloud cover that limits peak heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-May climatology in central Texas, where average highs hover around 85°F, while the modest 27.5% market-implied probability for 88°F or higher reflects residual uncertainty from potential breaks in cloud cover or slight model warm bias. With resolution tied to the official maximum observation, traders are closely monitoring the afternoon update from NOAA for any last adjustments in the steering pattern or dew-point profile that could nudge the reading across the 88°F threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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