Traders see the closest odds between 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C for Cape Town’s daily high today because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in daytime heating. Clearer skies and reduced southerly flow would allow surface temperatures to reach 21°C through greater solar radiation absorption, while a stronger marine layer or enhanced advection from the cool Benguela Current favors capping at 19–20°C. Morning observations already place conditions near the May climatological average of 18–22°C, and the next model runs from the South African Weather Service will determine whether afternoon wind shifts push the outcome toward the current market leader.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
21°C 34%
19°C 31%
20°C 28%
22°C 15.1%
$10,814 Vol.
$10,814 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
31%
20°C
28%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 34%
19°C 31%
20°C 28%
22°C 15.1%
$10,814 Vol.
$10,814 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
31%
20°C
28%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders see the closest odds between 19°C, 20°C, and 21°C for Cape Town’s daily high today because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in daytime heating. Clearer skies and reduced southerly flow would allow surface temperatures to reach 21°C through greater solar radiation absorption, while a stronger marine layer or enhanced advection from the cool Benguela Current favors capping at 19–20°C. Morning observations already place conditions near the May climatological average of 18–22°C, and the next model runs from the South African Weather Service will determine whether afternoon wind shifts push the outcome toward the current market leader.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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