Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 18, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 29–32°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from variability in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects around the Shuangliu International Airport observing site, where official readings are taken. Historical May climatology places typical highs in the 26–32°C range, providing context for the modest spread. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 18?
30°C 24%
31°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
BARU
$13,468 Vol.
BARU
$13,468 Vol.
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
24%
31°C
24%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 24%
31°C 24%
32°C 19%
29°C 18%
BARU
$13,468 Vol.
BARU
$13,468 Vol.
May 18, 2026
26°C or below
$1,626 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,123 Vol.
2%
28°C
$810 Vol.
9%
29°C
$1,124 Vol.
18%
30°C
$753 Vol.
24%
31°C
$1,127 Vol.
24%
32°C
$1,078 Vol.
19%
33°C
$960 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,191 Vol.
2%
35°C
$725 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,971 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 18, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 29–32°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from variability in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects around the Shuangliu International Airport observing site, where official readings are taken. Historical May climatology places typical highs in the 26–32°C range, providing context for the modest spread. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$13,468Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 18, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 29–32°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from variability in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects around the Shuangliu International Airport observing site, where official readings are taken. Historical May climatology places typical highs in the 26–32°C range, providing context for the modest spread. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,468Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show a daily maximum near 31°C for Chengdu on May 18, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 29–32°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from variability in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and localized urban heat effects around the Shuangliu International Airport observing site, where official readings are taken. Historical May climatology places typical highs in the 26–32°C range, providing context for the modest spread. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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