Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 16?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,772 Vol.
$23,772 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$23,772 Vol.
$23,772 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Guangzhou will experience peak temperatures well above 28°C on May 16 amid typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime heating enhanced by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 29–31°C, and recent observational trends from the China Meteorological Administration confirm no significant cooling influence from northern cold fronts or heavy precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% for 28°C or higher reflects this strong alignment between model consensus and baseline seasonal norms. Only an atypical rapid shift in steering patterns or unexpected frontal passage could push the daily maximum below the threshold, though such developments remain outside current guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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