Recent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
May 17, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
May 17, 2026
22°C or below
$1,494 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,486 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,367 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,330 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,351 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,848 Vol.
100%
28°C
$2,717 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,999 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,243 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,587 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$30,556Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,556Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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