Latest short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Guangzhou high near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This distribution of market-implied odds reflects genuine model spread over convective timing and moisture advection across the Pearl River Delta. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C with wide variability from day to day, so traders weigh recent observational trends and ensemble guidance against the risk of stronger solar insolation if clouds break earlier than projected. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where even small shifts in afternoon dew points or wind patterns can move the outcome by a degree.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
29°C 40%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
24%
29°C
34%
30°C
23%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$754 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,821 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$265 Vol.
6%
27°C
$298 Vol.
16%
28°C
$310 Vol.
24%
29°C
$545 Vol.
34%
30°C
$376 Vol.
23%
31°C
$313 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$841 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Guangzhou high near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This distribution of market-implied odds reflects genuine model spread over convective timing and moisture advection across the Pearl River Delta. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C with wide variability from day to day, so traders weigh recent observational trends and ensemble guidance against the risk of stronger solar insolation if clouds break earlier than projected. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where even small shifts in afternoon dew points or wind patterns can move the outcome by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$8,000Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Guangzhou high near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This distribution of market-implied odds reflects genuine model spread over convective timing and moisture advection across the Pearl River Delta. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C with wide variability from day to day, so traders weigh recent observational trends and ensemble guidance against the risk of stronger solar insolation if clouds break earlier than projected. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where even small shifts in afternoon dew points or wind patterns can move the outcome by a degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,000Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGLatest short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a Guangzhou high near 28–29°C on May 18, driven by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This distribution of market-implied odds reflects genuine model spread over convective timing and moisture advection across the Pearl River Delta. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C with wide variability from day to day, so traders weigh recent observational trends and ensemble guidance against the risk of stronger solar insolation if clouds break earlier than projected. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport, where even small shifts in afternoon dew points or wind patterns can move the outcome by a degree.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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