Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 27–28°C for Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, light north-easterly winds, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the August climatological average high near 28°C while suppressing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 28°C outcome at 64.5% implied probability because recent model runs show only minor variations from boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing, with lower odds on 27°C or 29°C reflecting tight uncertainty bands around this narrow range. Real-time observations throughout the day will resolve the market as temperatures peak in the afternoon.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 13?
28°C 68%
27°C 28%
29°C 3%
26°C 1.3%
BARU
$19,207 Vol.
BARU
$19,207 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
28%
28°C
68%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 68%
27°C 28%
29°C 3%
26°C 1.3%
BARU
$19,207 Vol.
BARU
$19,207 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
23°C or below
$447 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$667 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,147 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,694 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5,395 Vol.
28%
28°C
$4,287 Vol.
68%
29°C
$1,618 Vol.
3%
30°C
$1,608 Vol.
1%
31°C
$805 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 27–28°C for Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, light north-easterly winds, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the August climatological average high near 28°C while suppressing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 28°C outcome at 64.5% implied probability because recent model runs show only minor variations from boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing, with lower odds on 27°C or 29°C reflecting tight uncertainty bands around this narrow range. Real-time observations throughout the day will resolve the market as temperatures peak in the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$19,207Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 27–28°C for Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, light north-easterly winds, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the August climatological average high near 28°C while suppressing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 28°C outcome at 64.5% implied probability because recent model runs show only minor variations from boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing, with lower odds on 27°C or 29°C reflecting tight uncertainty bands around this narrow range. Real-time observations throughout the day will resolve the market as temperatures peak in the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,207Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather converge on a daily maximum of 27–28°C for Istanbul on August 13, driven by typical late-summer maritime moderation from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, light north-easterly winds, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the August climatological average high near 28°C while suppressing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 28°C outcome at 64.5% implied probability because recent model runs show only minor variations from boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze timing, with lower odds on 27°C or 29°C reflecting tight uncertainty bands around this narrow range. Real-time observations throughout the day will resolve the market as temperatures peak in the afternoon.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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