Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's September 6 high temperature will likely fall between 29–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light winds, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover. This setup favors above-average warmth for early September, when the climatological maximum averages near 26–28°C, though model runs show minor spread in peak values due to subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and wind direction. Trader-implied odds clustering tightly across 27–32°C reflect this forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong signals for extremes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending updated model guidance over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
29°C 37%
31°C 36%
32°C 36%
28°C 19%
25°C or below
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
19%
29°C
37%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
36%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
6%
29°C 37%
31°C 36%
32°C 36%
28°C 19%
25°C or below
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
19%
29°C
37%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
36%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's September 6 high temperature will likely fall between 29–32°C under predominantly sunny skies and light winds, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover. This setup favors above-average warmth for early September, when the climatological maximum averages near 26–28°C, though model runs show minor spread in peak values due to subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and wind direction. Trader-implied odds clustering tightly across 27–32°C reflect this forecast uncertainty and the absence of strong signals for extremes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter outliers pending updated model guidance over the next 48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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