Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts of maximum temperatures between 35–37°C on May 14 underpin trader sentiment, positioning 36°C or higher at 65.5% implied probability and 35°C at 31.5%, as the upper forecast range aligns with persistent high-pressure conditions fueling above-normal May heat. Following an intense early-month heatwave peaking at 44.1°C on May 4—the hottest day of 2026 so far—recent observations show moderation to 34–36°C on May 12, with rising trends into hot, humid weather driven by southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Historical May averages hover around 35°C, but pre-monsoon dynamics favor peaks; windy spells forecast for May 14 introduce minor uncertainty. Watch PMD's daily update and official observations for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
36°C or higher 60%
35°C 28%
34°C 6%
33°C 1.4%
$14,843 Vol.
$14,843 Vol.
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
28%
36°C or higher
60%
36°C or higher 60%
35°C 28%
34°C 6%
33°C 1.4%
$14,843 Vol.
$14,843 Vol.
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
28%
36°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts of maximum temperatures between 35–37°C on May 14 underpin trader sentiment, positioning 36°C or higher at 65.5% implied probability and 35°C at 31.5%, as the upper forecast range aligns with persistent high-pressure conditions fueling above-normal May heat. Following an intense early-month heatwave peaking at 44.1°C on May 4—the hottest day of 2026 so far—recent observations show moderation to 34–36°C on May 12, with rising trends into hot, humid weather driven by southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Historical May averages hover around 35°C, but pre-monsoon dynamics favor peaks; windy spells forecast for May 14 introduce minor uncertainty. Watch PMD's daily update and official observations for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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