Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a London maximum of 18°C for May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that exact outcome. Official surface analyses place the day within a transitional spring regime where Atlantic influences typically limit afternoon heating to the 16–18°C range, consistent with historical May climatology. Minor model adjustments or unexpected clearing could still push readings to 19°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$171,943 Vol.
$171,943 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$171,943 Vol.
$171,943 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a London maximum of 18°C for May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that exact outcome. Official surface analyses place the day within a transitional spring regime where Atlantic influences typically limit afternoon heating to the 16–18°C range, consistent with historical May climatology. Minor model adjustments or unexpected clearing could still push readings to 19°C, though current observational trends and steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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