Current meteorological observations and forecast models from the UK Met Office show London on track for a daily maximum of 18°C on May 17, supported by stable high-pressure systems and light southerly airflow advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with typical May climatology for the region where mean highs range 16–20°C. With resolution approaching and no major synoptic changes forecast in the final hours, traders have coalesced around 18°C as the implied outcome. Only a rapid shift in wind direction or unexpected cloud build-up could realistically alter surface heating enough to move the recorded high outside this narrow band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
17°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,554 Vol.
$158,554 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
17°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,554 Vol.
$158,554 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCCurrent meteorological observations and forecast models from the UK Met Office show London on track for a daily maximum of 18°C on May 17, supported by stable high-pressure systems and light southerly airflow advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with typical May climatology for the region where mean highs range 16–20°C. With resolution approaching and no major synoptic changes forecast in the final hours, traders have coalesced around 18°C as the implied outcome. Only a rapid shift in wind direction or unexpected cloud build-up could realistically alter surface heating enough to move the recorded high outside this narrow band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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