Current forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensemble models shows London reaching a daily maximum of 18°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow typical for mid-May. This strong scientific consensus, backed by recent surface observations and minimal model spread, underpins the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. Historical climatology places average May highs near 17–19°C, with no incoming fronts or anomalous warmth projected to shift the peak. Resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum, which could deviate only if localized convective activity or rapid wind changes materialize before evening—scenarios the latest guidance assigns low probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
17°C <1%
$155,738 Vol.
$155,738 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
17°C <1%
$155,738 Vol.
$155,738 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$997 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,915 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$8,287 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$12,717 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$13,308 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$19,210 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$26,720 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$29,746 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$18,399 Vol.
100%
19°C
$18,574 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,462 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensemble models shows London reaching a daily maximum of 18°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow typical for mid-May. This strong scientific consensus, backed by recent surface observations and minimal model spread, underpins the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. Historical climatology places average May highs near 17–19°C, with no incoming fronts or anomalous warmth projected to shift the peak. Resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum, which could deviate only if localized convective activity or rapid wind changes materialize before evening—scenarios the latest guidance assigns low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$155,738Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensemble models shows London reaching a daily maximum of 18°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow typical for mid-May. This strong scientific consensus, backed by recent surface observations and minimal model spread, underpins the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. Historical climatology places average May highs near 17–19°C, with no incoming fronts or anomalous warmth projected to shift the peak. Resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum, which could deviate only if localized convective activity or rapid wind changes materialize before evening—scenarios the latest guidance assigns low probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$155,738Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCCurrent forecast guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF ensemble models shows London reaching a daily maximum of 18°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow typical for mid-May. This strong scientific consensus, backed by recent surface observations and minimal model spread, underpins the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. Historical climatology places average May highs near 17–19°C, with no incoming fronts or anomalous warmth projected to shift the peak. Resolution hinges on the official recorded maximum, which could deviate only if localized convective activity or rapid wind changes materialize before evening—scenarios the latest guidance assigns low probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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