Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 15 °C and 14 °C. A broad Atlantic low-pressure system is driving scattered showers and moderate westerly winds across southern England, suppressing daytime insolation while increasing turbulent mixing that caps surface warming. Small variations in shower timing, cloud cover depth, or wind direction can readily shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, which accounts for the substantial probability assigned to adjacent outcomes. These short-range model spreads are typical for an unsettled mid-May pattern, with the next official guidance updates expected to refine the range before standard station observations are recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on May 18?
Highest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 18%
13°C 8%
BARU
$36,053 Vol.
BARU
$36,053 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
32%
15°C
39%
16°C
18%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 39%
14°C 32%
16°C 18%
13°C 8%
BARU
$36,053 Vol.
BARU
$36,053 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$1,791 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$6,300 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,833 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,545 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,729 Vol.
1%
13°C
$3,791 Vol.
8%
14°C
$2,727 Vol.
32%
15°C
$3,658 Vol.
39%
16°C
$3,913 Vol.
18%
17°C
$3,100 Vol.
4%
18°C or higher
$4,676 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 15 °C and 14 °C. A broad Atlantic low-pressure system is driving scattered showers and moderate westerly winds across southern England, suppressing daytime insolation while increasing turbulent mixing that caps surface warming. Small variations in shower timing, cloud cover depth, or wind direction can readily shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, which accounts for the substantial probability assigned to adjacent outcomes. These short-range model spreads are typical for an unsettled mid-May pattern, with the next official guidance updates expected to refine the range before standard station observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$36,053Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 15 °C and 14 °C. A broad Atlantic low-pressure system is driving scattered showers and moderate westerly winds across southern England, suppressing daytime insolation while increasing turbulent mixing that caps surface warming. Small variations in shower timing, cloud cover depth, or wind direction can readily shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, which accounts for the substantial probability assigned to adjacent outcomes. These short-range model spreads are typical for an unsettled mid-May pattern, with the next official guidance updates expected to refine the range before standard station observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,053Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 15 °C and 14 °C. A broad Atlantic low-pressure system is driving scattered showers and moderate westerly winds across southern England, suppressing daytime insolation while increasing turbulent mixing that caps surface warming. Small variations in shower timing, cloud cover depth, or wind direction can readily shift the observed high by 1–2 °C, which accounts for the substantial probability assigned to adjacent outcomes. These short-range model spreads are typical for an unsettled mid-May pattern, with the next official guidance updates expected to refine the range before standard station observations are recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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