Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 30–32 °C for Lucknow’s August 31 maximum. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate partly to mainly cloudy skies and a 70 % chance of rain or thundershowers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating through evaporative cooling and high humidity. Recent observations show daily highs of 31–33.5 °C under similar conditions, with only brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on whether steering patterns permit prolonged breaks in cloud cover or heavier, longer-lasting precipitation—factors that numerical guidance and local observations continue to refine through the weekend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 31?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 31?
31°C 30%
29°C 24%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C
30%
32°C
23%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 30%
29°C 24%
30°C 24%
32°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$0 Vol.
24%
31°C
$5 Vol.
30%
32°C
$30 Vol.
23%
33°C
$0 Vol.
20%
34°C or higher
$14 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 30–32 °C for Lucknow’s August 31 maximum. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate partly to mainly cloudy skies and a 70 % chance of rain or thundershowers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating through evaporative cooling and high humidity. Recent observations show daily highs of 31–33.5 °C under similar conditions, with only brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on whether steering patterns permit prolonged breaks in cloud cover or heavier, longer-lasting precipitation—factors that numerical guidance and local observations continue to refine through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$50Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 30–32 °C for Lucknow’s August 31 maximum. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate partly to mainly cloudy skies and a 70 % chance of rain or thundershowers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating through evaporative cooling and high humidity. Recent observations show daily highs of 31–33.5 °C under similar conditions, with only brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on whether steering patterns permit prolonged breaks in cloud cover or heavier, longer-lasting precipitation—factors that numerical guidance and local observations continue to refine through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover with thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 30–32 °C for Lucknow’s August 31 maximum. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate partly to mainly cloudy skies and a 70 % chance of rain or thundershowers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating through evaporative cooling and high humidity. Recent observations show daily highs of 31–33.5 °C under similar conditions, with only brief clear intervals allowing brief spikes. Differentiation between the leading bins hinges on whether steering patterns permit prolonged breaks in cloud cover or heavier, longer-lasting precipitation—factors that numerical guidance and local observations continue to refine through the weekend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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