**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine atmospheric, geophysical and astronomical services administration, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Manila on June 14, 2026, consistent with typical early southwest monsoon conditions that bring cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating.** Historical June averages hover near 32°C, and current model runs show no significant deviation toward extremes. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this consensus from government monitoring data and climatological baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or measurement at a warmer micro-site could theoretically push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain unlikely given the entrenched monsoon pattern and ongoing rain chances.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on June 14?
32°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
33°C <1%
$22,709 Vol.
$22,709 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
36°C <1%
33°C <1%
$22,709 Vol.
$22,709 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from PAGASA, the Philippine atmospheric, geophysical and astronomical services administration, indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C for Manila on June 14, 2026, consistent with typical early southwest monsoon conditions that bring cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity limiting daytime heating.** Historical June averages hover near 32°C, and current model runs show no significant deviation toward extremes. The overwhelming 99.9% market-implied probability for 32°C reflects this consensus from government monitoring data and climatological baselines. A sudden clearing of skies or measurement at a warmer micro-site could theoretically push readings to 34°C, though such shifts remain unlikely given the entrenched monsoon pattern and ongoing rain chances.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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