Recent high-pressure ridging over the South China Sea has promoted clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak near 36 °C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. This positioning aligns with May climatology, when the region typically records its seasonal maximums under suppressed monsoon flow and elevated heat indices. Official surface observations from the Manila synoptic station, combined with real-time satellite-derived land-surface temperatures, reinforce the market-implied 36 °C outcome at near-certainty. Only an unexpected influx of convective cloud cover or a late-day sea-breeze surge could pull readings below this threshold before sunset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on May 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 17?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,549 Vol.
$29,549 Vol.
May 17, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,549 Vol.
$29,549 Vol.
May 17, 2026
29°C or below
$2,567 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,238 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,726 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,166 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,443 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,326 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,551 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$6,518 Vol.
100%
37°C
$2,559 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,559 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$895 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent high-pressure ridging over the South China Sea has promoted clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak near 36 °C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. This positioning aligns with May climatology, when the region typically records its seasonal maximums under suppressed monsoon flow and elevated heat indices. Official surface observations from the Manila synoptic station, combined with real-time satellite-derived land-surface temperatures, reinforce the market-implied 36 °C outcome at near-certainty. Only an unexpected influx of convective cloud cover or a late-day sea-breeze surge could pull readings below this threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$29,549Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent high-pressure ridging over the South China Sea has promoted clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak near 36 °C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. This positioning aligns with May climatology, when the region typically records its seasonal maximums under suppressed monsoon flow and elevated heat indices. Official surface observations from the Manila synoptic station, combined with real-time satellite-derived land-surface temperatures, reinforce the market-implied 36 °C outcome at near-certainty. Only an unexpected influx of convective cloud cover or a late-day sea-breeze surge could pull readings below this threshold before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,549Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLRecent high-pressure ridging over the South China Sea has promoted clear skies and strong solar heating across Metro Manila, driving afternoon temperatures toward a peak near 36 °C according to the latest PAGASA guidance and ensemble model consensus. This positioning aligns with May climatology, when the region typically records its seasonal maximums under suppressed monsoon flow and elevated heat indices. Official surface observations from the Manila synoptic station, combined with real-time satellite-derived land-surface temperatures, reinforce the market-implied 36 °C outcome at near-certainty. Only an unexpected influx of convective cloud cover or a late-day sea-breeze surge could pull readings below this threshold before sunset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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