Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a high likelihood of daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by typical early wet-season conditions with moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and afternoon convective clouds that often limit further warming. Historical May climatology places average highs near 31.5°C, with rare excursions above 33°C under clear, dry spells. Current ensemble guidance indicates stable steering patterns and no strong subsidence to suppress cloud development, keeping the 33°C-or-higher outcome at modest implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on May 18?
32°C 38%
33°C or higher 36%
31°C 24%
30°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
38%
33°C or higher
36%
32°C 38%
33°C or higher 36%
31°C 24%
30°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
38%
33°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies show a high likelihood of daytime maxima reaching 31–32°C in Panama City on May 18, driven by typical early wet-season conditions with moderate humidity, light easterly winds, and afternoon convective clouds that often limit further warming. Historical May climatology places average highs near 31.5°C, with rare excursions above 33°C under clear, dry spells. Current ensemble guidance indicates stable steering patterns and no strong subsidence to suppress cloud development, keeping the 33°C-or-higher outcome at modest implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations expected later today could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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