Numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration currently favor a daily maximum near 20 °C for Qingdao on May 18 under a stable high-pressure regime over the Yellow Sea. This positioning anchors the market-implied odds around the 19–22 °C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of cool maritime air that typically caps mid-May highs in the low-to-mid twenties. Historical station data show Qingdao’s coastal climate produces daily maxima averaging 20–21 °C during this period, with limited potential for rapid warming absent a shift in steering flow. Fresh model runs expected overnight will clarify whether any subtle ridge strengthening or onshore breeze adjustment alters the peak temperature before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 18?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 18?
20°C 33%
21°C 33%
19°C 21%
22°C 13%
BARU
$10,087 Vol.
BARU
$10,087 Vol.
May 18, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
21%
20°C
27%
21°C
29%
22°C
13%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 33%
21°C 33%
19°C 21%
22°C 13%
BARU
$10,087 Vol.
BARU
$10,087 Vol.
May 18, 2026
14°C or below
$1,240 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$667 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,445 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,926 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,119 Vol.
21%
20°C
$296 Vol.
27%
21°C
$372 Vol.
29%
22°C
$225 Vol.
13%
23°C
$106 Vol.
5%
24°C or higher
$529 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration currently favor a daily maximum near 20 °C for Qingdao on May 18 under a stable high-pressure regime over the Yellow Sea. This positioning anchors the market-implied odds around the 19–22 °C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of cool maritime air that typically caps mid-May highs in the low-to-mid twenties. Historical station data show Qingdao’s coastal climate produces daily maxima averaging 20–21 °C during this period, with limited potential for rapid warming absent a shift in steering flow. Fresh model runs expected overnight will clarify whether any subtle ridge strengthening or onshore breeze adjustment alters the peak temperature before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$10,087Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration currently favor a daily maximum near 20 °C for Qingdao on May 18 under a stable high-pressure regime over the Yellow Sea. This positioning anchors the market-implied odds around the 19–22 °C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of cool maritime air that typically caps mid-May highs in the low-to-mid twenties. Historical station data show Qingdao’s coastal climate produces daily maxima averaging 20–21 °C during this period, with limited potential for rapid warming absent a shift in steering flow. Fresh model runs expected overnight will clarify whether any subtle ridge strengthening or onshore breeze adjustment alters the peak temperature before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,087Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDNumerical weather models from the China Meteorological Administration currently favor a daily maximum near 20 °C for Qingdao on May 18 under a stable high-pressure regime over the Yellow Sea. This positioning anchors the market-implied odds around the 19–22 °C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of cool maritime air that typically caps mid-May highs in the low-to-mid twenties. Historical station data show Qingdao’s coastal climate produces daily maxima averaging 20–21 °C during this period, with limited potential for rapid warming absent a shift in steering flow. Fresh model runs expected overnight will clarify whether any subtle ridge strengthening or onshore breeze adjustment alters the peak temperature before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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