**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 68–72°F for San Francisco on August 16, driven by the typical late-summer marine layer that brings onshore flow, coastal stratus, and sea breezes limiting daytime heating.** This positions the 70–71°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology (average highs near 67–70°F) and recent observations showing similar readings without significant warming from inland heat. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on the modest peak, with any upward shift to 72–73°F possible only if the marine influence weakens slightly midday. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily, assigning low probability to extremes given the absence of anomalous high-pressure patterns or record-challenging conditions. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near resolution will refine the exact outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 16?
70-71°F 47%
72-73°F 25%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
47%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 47%
72-73°F 25%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
65°F or below
$576 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$238 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$611 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$486 Vol.
47%
72-73°F
$1,370 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$1,536 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$1,654 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$476 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$21 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$293 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$384 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 68–72°F for San Francisco on August 16, driven by the typical late-summer marine layer that brings onshore flow, coastal stratus, and sea breezes limiting daytime heating.**
This positions the 70–71°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology (average highs near 67–70°F) and recent observations showing similar readings without significant warming from inland heat. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on the modest peak, with any upward shift to 72–73°F possible only if the marine influence weakens slightly midday. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily, assigning low probability to extremes given the absence of anomalous high-pressure patterns or record-challenging conditions. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near resolution will refine the exact outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$7,646Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 68–72°F for San Francisco on August 16, driven by the typical late-summer marine layer that brings onshore flow, coastal stratus, and sea breezes limiting daytime heating.**
This positions the 70–71°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology (average highs near 67–70°F) and recent observations showing similar readings without significant warming from inland heat. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on the modest peak, with any upward shift to 72–73°F possible only if the marine influence weakens slightly midday. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily, assigning low probability to extremes given the absence of anomalous high-pressure patterns or record-challenging conditions. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near resolution will refine the exact outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,646Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate a high near 68–72°F for San Francisco on August 16, driven by the typical late-summer marine layer that brings onshore flow, coastal stratus, and sea breezes limiting daytime heating.** This positions the 70–71°F bin as the market leader, consistent with August climatology (average highs near 67–70°F) and recent observations showing similar readings without significant warming from inland heat. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on the modest peak, with any upward shift to 72–73°F possible only if the marine influence weakens slightly midday. Traders appear to weigh these stable coastal dynamics heavily, assigning low probability to extremes given the absence of anomalous high-pressure patterns or record-challenging conditions. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations near resolution will refine the exact outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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