Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on September 11 most likely between 27–29°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and variable cloud cover or light showers are expected to suppress peak heating compared to clearer conditions. These align with September climatology near 27°C while reflecting the latest model consensus favoring limited diurnal warming ahead of a potential frontal passage. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between official high readings and any urban heat island effects, with final resolution hinging on the next 24–48 hours of observational updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?
28°C 42%
29°C 40%
27°C 11%
30°C 10%
BARU
$15,955 Vol.
BARU
$15,955 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
42%
29°C
40%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 40%
27°C 11%
30°C 10%
BARU
$15,955 Vol.
BARU
$15,955 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$1,137 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,541 Vol.
2%
27°C
$2,752 Vol.
11%
28°C
$3,857 Vol.
42%
29°C
$3,050 Vol.
40%
30°C
$1,741 Vol.
10%
31°C
$910 Vol.
2%
32°C
$152 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on September 11 most likely between 27–29°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and variable cloud cover or light showers are expected to suppress peak heating compared to clearer conditions. These align with September climatology near 27°C while reflecting the latest model consensus favoring limited diurnal warming ahead of a potential frontal passage. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between official high readings and any urban heat island effects, with final resolution hinging on the next 24–48 hours of observational updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,955Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on September 11 most likely between 27–29°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and variable cloud cover or light showers are expected to suppress peak heating compared to clearer conditions. These align with September climatology near 27°C while reflecting the latest model consensus favoring limited diurnal warming ahead of a potential frontal passage. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between official high readings and any urban heat island effects, with final resolution hinging on the next 24–48 hours of observational updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,955Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature in Shanghai on September 11 most likely between 27–29°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C implied probabilities. Moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and variable cloud cover or light showers are expected to suppress peak heating compared to clearer conditions. These align with September climatology near 27°C while reflecting the latest model consensus favoring limited diurnal warming ahead of a potential frontal passage. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between official high readings and any urban heat island effects, with final resolution hinging on the next 24–48 hours of observational updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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