**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological agencies currently project overnight lows of 22–24°C for Shanghai on September 11 under partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with light northeast winds.** These conditions limit radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from southerly flows, aligning with the market’s highest implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C as the daily minimum. Recent observations show similar overnight readings of 22–24°C amid transitional autumn patterns, with no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences expected in the short term. Historical September averages place typical lows near 22°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 20°C or above 28°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts in these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?
19°C or below 33%
23°C 32%
29°C or higher 32%
25°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
33%
20°C
20%
21°C
21%
22°C
16%
23°C
40%
24°C
27%
25°C
29%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
20%
29°C or higher
32%
19°C or below 33%
23°C 32%
29°C or higher 32%
25°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
33%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$280 Vol.
40%
24°C
$227 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
29%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological agencies currently project overnight lows of 22–24°C for Shanghai on September 11 under partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with light northeast winds.** These conditions limit radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from southerly flows, aligning with the market’s highest implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C as the daily minimum. Recent observations show similar overnight readings of 22–24°C amid transitional autumn patterns, with no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences expected in the short term. Historical September averages place typical lows near 22°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 20°C or above 28°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$427Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological agencies currently project overnight lows of 22–24°C for Shanghai on September 11 under partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with light northeast winds.** These conditions limit radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from southerly flows, aligning with the market’s highest implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C as the daily minimum. Recent observations show similar overnight readings of 22–24°C amid transitional autumn patterns, with no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences expected in the short term. Historical September averages place typical lows near 22°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 20°C or above 28°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$427Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and local meteorological agencies currently project overnight lows of 22–24°C for Shanghai on September 11 under partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with light northeast winds.** These conditions limit radiative cooling while preventing significant warming from southerly flows, aligning with the market’s highest implied probabilities for 23°C and 24°C as the daily minimum. Recent observations show similar overnight readings of 22–24°C amid transitional autumn patterns, with no strong cold fronts or typhoon influences expected in the short term. Historical September averages place typical lows near 22°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 20°C or above 28°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will be key for any shifts in these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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