Current forecast consensus from global numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, supports a minimum temperature of 22°C in Shanghai overnight on September 10, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity near 70-80%. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average lows hover around 22°C, and recent observations showing steady cooling from daytime highs near 28-30°C without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative losses. Trader positioning at 96% implied probability reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in short-term guidance. A shift in steering patterns or denser cloud cover could push the low to 21°C or 23°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on latest data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
22°C 97%
21°C 1.6%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,831 Vol.
$15,831 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
97%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 97%
21°C 1.6%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,831 Vol.
$15,831 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$195 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$823 Vol.
1%
20°C
$750 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,695 Vol.
2%
22°C
$4,349 Vol.
97%
23°C
$4,597 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$797 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$211 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$216 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, supports a minimum temperature of 22°C in Shanghai overnight on September 10, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity near 70-80%. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average lows hover around 22°C, and recent observations showing steady cooling from daytime highs near 28-30°C without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative losses. Trader positioning at 96% implied probability reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in short-term guidance. A shift in steering patterns or denser cloud cover could push the low to 21°C or 23°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$15,831Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, supports a minimum temperature of 22°C in Shanghai overnight on September 10, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity near 70-80%. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average lows hover around 22°C, and recent observations showing steady cooling from daytime highs near 28-30°C without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative losses. Trader positioning at 96% implied probability reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in short-term guidance. A shift in steering patterns or denser cloud cover could push the low to 21°C or 23°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,831Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from global numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, supports a minimum temperature of 22°C in Shanghai overnight on September 10, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity near 70-80%. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average lows hover around 22°C, and recent observations showing steady cooling from daytime highs near 28-30°C without significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky radiative losses. Trader positioning at 96% implied probability reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in short-term guidance. A shift in steering patterns or denser cloud cover could push the low to 21°C or 23°C, though such deviations remain low-probability based on latest data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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