Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 9, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 10–16 mph, and dew points around 20–22°C that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C, as official observations through early September show minimums stabilizing in the low- to mid-20s amid typical late-summer transition patterns without strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes given the absence of model consensus for stronger cooling or precipitation that could drop readings further. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local Shanghai stations tonight will likely confirm the final minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
24°C 81%
23°C 19.5%
22°C 3.0%
21°C 1.7%
$11,420 Vol.
$11,420 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
81%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 81%
23°C 19.5%
22°C 3.0%
21°C 1.7%
$11,420 Vol.
$11,420 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
19°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$511 Vol.
2%
22°C
$835 Vol.
3%
23°C
$2,268 Vol.
20%
24°C
$4,292 Vol.
81%
25°C
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$342 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 9, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 10–16 mph, and dew points around 20–22°C that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C, as official observations through early September show minimums stabilizing in the low- to mid-20s amid typical late-summer transition patterns without strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes given the absence of model consensus for stronger cooling or precipitation that could drop readings further. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local Shanghai stations tonight will likely confirm the final minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$11,420Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 9, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 10–16 mph, and dew points around 20–22°C that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C, as official observations through early September show minimums stabilizing in the low- to mid-20s amid typical late-summer transition patterns without strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes given the absence of model consensus for stronger cooling or precipitation that could drop readings further. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local Shanghai stations tonight will likely confirm the final minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,420Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF point to an overnight low near 23–24°C in Shanghai on September 9, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds of 10–16 mph, and dew points around 20–22°C that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C, as official observations through early September show minimums stabilizing in the low- to mid-20s amid typical late-summer transition patterns without strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to discount lower outcomes given the absence of model consensus for stronger cooling or precipitation that could drop readings further. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local Shanghai stations tonight will likely confirm the final minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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