Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily high of 27°C today under stable subtropical conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. Official station data and ensemble models show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 23°C, consistent with seasonal May averages for the region but not exceeding the threshold for 28°C or higher. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and historical precedent for similar spring days, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement variations or brief localized spikes. A sudden shift in coastal humidity or an unforecasted cold front could realistically push readings outside this narrow band before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$49,458 Vol.
$49,458 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$49,458 Vol.
$49,458 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZCurrent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen will reach a daily high of 27°C today under stable subtropical conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. Official station data and ensemble models show temperatures climbing from overnight lows near 23°C, consistent with seasonal May averages for the region but not exceeding the threshold for 28°C or higher. Trader consensus at 99.8% for exactly 27°C reflects this tight model agreement and historical precedent for similar spring days, while the slim 0.1% odds on adjacent outcomes account for minor measurement variations or brief localized spikes. A sudden shift in coastal humidity or an unforecasted cold front could realistically push readings outside this narrow band before midnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan