Recent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, driven by the city’s subtropical monsoon climate during the pre-monsoon transition period. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating maritime airflow from the South China Sea are limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation among these outcomes, with even minor shifts in precipitation timing or insolation potentially determining whether the daily maximum reaches 28°C or 29°C rather than 27°C. Historical May averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a slightly cooler profile, and updated model runs or official observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will clarify the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
27°C 31%
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
31%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 31%
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
30°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
31%
28°C
27%
29°C
31%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent forecast guidance from regional models and global ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18 most likely between 27°C and 29°C, driven by the city’s subtropical monsoon climate during the pre-monsoon transition period. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating maritime airflow from the South China Sea are limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation among these outcomes, with even minor shifts in precipitation timing or insolation potentially determining whether the daily maximum reaches 28°C or 29°C rather than 27°C. Historical May averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current conditions favor a slightly cooler profile, and updated model runs or official observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will clarify the exact threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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