Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei highs of 20-23°C on May 14 amid mostly cloudy skies and occasional showers from an incoming Mei-Yu front bringing cooler, moist northeasterly flow, capping solar heating after recent warmer days near 27°C. Yet trader consensus implies 53.5% odds for 27°C or higher, likely pricing in historical May averages around 28°C, potential diurnal warming in urban Taipei, and ensemble model spread from GFS/ECMWF showing upside risk if clouds thin midday. Lower outcomes like 26°C (22.5%) and 25°C (17%) reflect acknowledged uncertainty in short-range forecasts, with official station observations resolving the market by May 15. Watch CWA updates overnight for shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
27°C or higher 52%
26°C 20%
25°C 18%
24°C 14%
$15,118 Vol.
$15,118 Vol.
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
18%
26°C
20%
27°C or higher
52%
27°C or higher 52%
26°C 20%
25°C 18%
24°C 14%
$15,118 Vol.
$15,118 Vol.
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
14%
25°C
18%
26°C
20%
27°C or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei highs of 20-23°C on May 14 amid mostly cloudy skies and occasional showers from an incoming Mei-Yu front bringing cooler, moist northeasterly flow, capping solar heating after recent warmer days near 27°C. Yet trader consensus implies 53.5% odds for 27°C or higher, likely pricing in historical May averages around 28°C, potential diurnal warming in urban Taipei, and ensemble model spread from GFS/ECMWF showing upside risk if clouds thin midday. Lower outcomes like 26°C (22.5%) and 25°C (17%) reflect acknowledged uncertainty in short-range forecasts, with official station observations resolving the market by May 15. Watch CWA updates overnight for shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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