Current weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a sunny to partly cloudy pattern over the Tel Aviv coastal plain tomorrow, with daytime heating expected to push the maximum temperature near 28–30 °C under light southwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring 30 °C as the leading outcome, reflecting typical early-May climatology where sea-breeze moderation often caps peaks just above seasonal averages of 26–27 °C. Short-term model runs show limited spread, though afternoon sea-breeze strengthening could shave 1–2 °C from the high if winds intensify earlier than projected, keeping 29 °C and 31 °C as viable alternatives. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies tomorrow morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
30°C 41%
31°C 26.9%
32°C or higher 19.1%
29°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
41%
31°C
27%
32°C or higher
19%
30°C 41%
31°C 26.9%
32°C or higher 19.1%
29°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
41%
31°C
27%
32°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current weather models from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather indicate a sunny to partly cloudy pattern over the Tel Aviv coastal plain tomorrow, with daytime heating expected to push the maximum temperature near 28–30 °C under light southwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover. This positioning aligns with trader consensus favoring 30 °C as the leading outcome, reflecting typical early-May climatology where sea-breeze moderation often caps peaks just above seasonal averages of 26–27 °C. Short-term model runs show limited spread, though afternoon sea-breeze strengthening could shave 1–2 °C from the high if winds intensify earlier than projected, keeping 29 °C and 31 °C as viable alternatives. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies tomorrow morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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