Recent updates from Environment Canada forecast models, showing a strengthening southwesterly flow under mostly sunny skies, have positioned Toronto for a daytime high potentially reaching or exceeding 27°C at Pearson International Airport, driving the 58.8% market-implied odds for that outcome. This warming trend aligns with above-average May climatology for the region, where clear conditions and southerly advection often boost temperatures several degrees beyond seasonal norms. Lower-probability bins around 25–26°C reflect residual model spread and minor cloud-cover risks, while outcomes below 24°C remain negligible given current observational trends. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded today, with any late-afternoon convective development the key variable still in play.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on May 17?
27°C or higher 79.7%
26°C 12.8%
25°C 5%
24°C 3.5%
$42,875 Vol.
$42,875 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
80%
27°C or higher 79.7%
26°C 12.8%
25°C 5%
24°C 3.5%
$42,875 Vol.
$42,875 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent updates from Environment Canada forecast models, showing a strengthening southwesterly flow under mostly sunny skies, have positioned Toronto for a daytime high potentially reaching or exceeding 27°C at Pearson International Airport, driving the 58.8% market-implied odds for that outcome. This warming trend aligns with above-average May climatology for the region, where clear conditions and southerly advection often boost temperatures several degrees beyond seasonal norms. Lower-probability bins around 25–26°C reflect residual model spread and minor cloud-cover risks, while outcomes below 24°C remain negligible given current observational trends. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded today, with any late-afternoon convective development the key variable still in play.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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