Current numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high of 17–18°C in Warsaw on June 15 under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This setup stems from a transient low-pressure influence moderating diurnal heating, keeping surface temperatures near the June climatological mean of roughly 22°C but tempered by increased cloud cover and precipitation timing. The tight market split between 17°C and 18°C reflects ensemble spread from minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, convective initiation, and exact frontal passage, while lower probabilities for 16°C or 19°C+ align with historical model bias and resolution limits near these thresholds. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 15?
17°C 44%
18°C 39%
16°C 9%
19°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
44%
18°C
39%
19°C
7%
20°C or higher
2%
17°C 44%
18°C 39%
16°C 9%
19°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$605 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$580 Vol.
1%
15°C
$717 Vol.
2%
16°C
$853 Vol.
9%
17°C
$535 Vol.
44%
18°C
$1,117 Vol.
39%
19°C
$328 Vol.
7%
20°C or higher
$1,161 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high of 17–18°C in Warsaw on June 15 under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This setup stems from a transient low-pressure influence moderating diurnal heating, keeping surface temperatures near the June climatological mean of roughly 22°C but tempered by increased cloud cover and precipitation timing. The tight market split between 17°C and 18°C reflects ensemble spread from minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, convective initiation, and exact frontal passage, while lower probabilities for 16°C or 19°C+ align with historical model bias and resolution limits near these thresholds. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$6,626Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high of 17–18°C in Warsaw on June 15 under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This setup stems from a transient low-pressure influence moderating diurnal heating, keeping surface temperatures near the June climatological mean of roughly 22°C but tempered by increased cloud cover and precipitation timing. The tight market split between 17°C and 18°C reflects ensemble spread from minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, convective initiation, and exact frontal passage, while lower probabilities for 16°C or 19°C+ align with historical model bias and resolution limits near these thresholds. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,626Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a high of 17–18°C in Warsaw on June 15 under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers and moderate westerly winds. This setup stems from a transient low-pressure influence moderating diurnal heating, keeping surface temperatures near the June climatological mean of roughly 22°C but tempered by increased cloud cover and precipitation timing. The tight market split between 17°C and 18°C reflects ensemble spread from minor variations in boundary-layer moisture, convective initiation, and exact frontal passage, while lower probabilities for 16°C or 19°C+ align with historical model bias and resolution limits near these thresholds. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours will refine the maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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