Recent model consensus from sources like the BBC and timeanddate centers Warsaw's June 16 maximum near 18–19°C amid westerly flow and possible light showers or cloud cover, which suppress daytime heating relative to June climatology of ~22°C. Ensemble spreads in global models (GFS/ECMWF) show tight clustering in the 17–21°C range, with 19°C edging 20°C due to marginal differences in timing of any clearing or boundary-layer mixing. The closely matched leading probabilities reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, where small revisions in 48-hour runs—such as shifts in low-level moisture or wind speed—could easily reprice the top two outcomes before resolution at local noon.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
19°C 38%
20°C 34%
18°C 16%
21°C 6.6%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
16%
19°C
38%
20°C
34%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 38%
20°C 34%
18°C 16%
21°C 6.6%
BARU
BARU
Jun 16, 2026
15°C or below
$18 Vol.
1%
16°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$39 Vol.
3%
18°C
$141 Vol.
16%
19°C
$89 Vol.
38%
20°C
$85 Vol.
34%
21°C
$47 Vol.
7%
22°C
$5 Vol.
3%
23°C
$254 Vol.
1%
24°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the BBC and timeanddate centers Warsaw's June 16 maximum near 18–19°C amid westerly flow and possible light showers or cloud cover, which suppress daytime heating relative to June climatology of ~22°C. Ensemble spreads in global models (GFS/ECMWF) show tight clustering in the 17–21°C range, with 19°C edging 20°C due to marginal differences in timing of any clearing or boundary-layer mixing. The closely matched leading probabilities reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, where small revisions in 48-hour runs—such as shifts in low-level moisture or wind speed—could easily reprice the top two outcomes before resolution at local noon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,316Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the BBC and timeanddate centers Warsaw's June 16 maximum near 18–19°C amid westerly flow and possible light showers or cloud cover, which suppress daytime heating relative to June climatology of ~22°C. Ensemble spreads in global models (GFS/ECMWF) show tight clustering in the 17–21°C range, with 19°C edging 20°C due to marginal differences in timing of any clearing or boundary-layer mixing. The closely matched leading probabilities reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, where small revisions in 48-hour runs—such as shifts in low-level moisture or wind speed—could easily reprice the top two outcomes before resolution at local noon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,316Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the BBC and timeanddate centers Warsaw's June 16 maximum near 18–19°C amid westerly flow and possible light showers or cloud cover, which suppress daytime heating relative to June climatology of ~22°C. Ensemble spreads in global models (GFS/ECMWF) show tight clustering in the 17–21°C range, with 19°C edging 20°C due to marginal differences in timing of any clearing or boundary-layer mixing. The closely matched leading probabilities reflect this genuine forecast uncertainty, where small revisions in 48-hour runs—such as shifts in low-level moisture or wind speed—could easily reprice the top two outcomes before resolution at local noon.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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