Current forecast consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 6?
19°C 45%
18°C 30%
20°C 24%
17°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
30%
19°C
45%
20°C
24%
21°C
7%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 45%
18°C 30%
20°C 24%
17°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C
$179 Vol.
30%
19°C
$115 Vol.
45%
20°C
$224 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$518Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$518Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from global models points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Warsaw on September 6, underpinning the leading 44% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients are expected to limit daytime heating, with partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances keeping values near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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