Current forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService show a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and consistent output across regional numerical weather prediction systems. This strong scientific consensus, anchored in real-time surface observations and upper-air soundings, explains the market-implied probability above 99% for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatological baselines for the area typically range 12–16°C under similar southerly flows, reinforcing the positioning. Minor shifts in wind direction or coastal cloud cover could still alter the final reading, but such changes would require an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated by official guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 Vol.
$53,840 Vol.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 Vol.
$53,840 Vol.
May 17, 2026
8°C or below
$4,661 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,840 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,007 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,263 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,921 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,792 Vol.
100%
15°C
$4,620 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$8,352 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,197 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$4,824 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService show a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and consistent output across regional numerical weather prediction systems. This strong scientific consensus, anchored in real-time surface observations and upper-air soundings, explains the market-implied probability above 99% for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatological baselines for the area typically range 12–16°C under similar southerly flows, reinforcing the positioning. Minor shifts in wind direction or coastal cloud cover could still alter the final reading, but such changes would require an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated by official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$53,840Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService show a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and consistent output across regional numerical weather prediction systems. This strong scientific consensus, anchored in real-time surface observations and upper-air soundings, explains the market-implied probability above 99% for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatological baselines for the area typically range 12–16°C under similar southerly flows, reinforcing the positioning. Minor shifts in wind direction or coastal cloud cover could still alter the final reading, but such changes would require an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated by official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,840Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService show a maximum temperature of 14°C for Wellington on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and consistent output across regional numerical weather prediction systems. This strong scientific consensus, anchored in real-time surface observations and upper-air soundings, explains the market-implied probability above 99% for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatological baselines for the area typically range 12–16°C under similar southerly flows, reinforcing the positioning. Minor shifts in wind direction or coastal cloud cover could still alter the final reading, but such changes would require an unexpected frontal passage not currently indicated by official guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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