Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI stronghold encompassing New Orleans with a majority-Black voting-age population, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 88%. Recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling on April 29 invalidating the state's congressional map as a racial gerrymander spurred urgent redistricting, with lawmakers on May 13 advancing plans to preserve one majority-Black Democratic-leaning district amid GOP efforts to gain seats. Primaries, originally set for May 16, were shifted via HB 842 and executive action to a November open primary, delaying the race but not altering the district's entrenched Democratic lean. Carter faces Democratic primary challenger Renada Collins, yet no prominent Republican contender has emerged, limiting GOP prospects to 10%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$41,449 Vol.
$41,449 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
10%
$41,449 Vol.
$41,449 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,765 Vol.
88%
Republican Party
$19,684 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI stronghold encompassing New Orleans with a majority-Black voting-age population, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 88%. Recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling on April 29 invalidating the state's congressional map as a racial gerrymander spurred urgent redistricting, with lawmakers on May 13 advancing plans to preserve one majority-Black Democratic-leaning district amid GOP efforts to gain seats. Primaries, originally set for May 16, were shifted via HB 842 and executive action to a November open primary, delaying the race but not altering the district's entrenched Democratic lean. Carter faces Democratic primary challenger Renada Collins, yet no prominent Republican contender has emerged, limiting GOP prospects to 10%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,449Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI stronghold encompassing New Orleans with a majority-Black voting-age population, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 88%. Recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling on April 29 invalidating the state's congressional map as a racial gerrymander spurred urgent redistricting, with lawmakers on May 13 advancing plans to preserve one majority-Black Democratic-leaning district amid GOP efforts to gain seats. Primaries, originally set for May 16, were shifted via HB 842 and executive action to a November open primary, delaying the race but not altering the district's entrenched Democratic lean. Carter faces Democratic primary challenger Renada Collins, yet no prominent Republican contender has emerged, limiting GOP prospects to 10%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,449Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a D+17 Cook PVI stronghold encompassing New Orleans with a majority-Black voting-age population, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 88%. Recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling on April 29 invalidating the state's congressional map as a racial gerrymander spurred urgent redistricting, with lawmakers on May 13 advancing plans to preserve one majority-Black Democratic-leaning district amid GOP efforts to gain seats. Primaries, originally set for May 16, were shifted via HB 842 and executive action to a November open primary, delaying the race but not altering the district's entrenched Democratic lean. Carter faces Democratic primary challenger Renada Collins, yet no prominent Republican contender has emerged, limiting GOP prospects to 10%.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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