Latest NWS guidance and model consensus point to an overnight low near 77°F for Austin on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 73–75°F, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and elevated moisture from an approaching tropical moisture plume further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing clear-sky heat loss. Minor forecast differences in cloud cover timing, shower coverage, or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 69–85°F bins, as even small shifts in these variables can alter the minimum by a few degrees. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact low before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Austin on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 2?
69°F or below 100%
82-83°F 100%
84-85°F 100%
86-87°F 95%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
69°F or below
100%
70-71°F
94%
72-73°F
91%
74-75°F
91%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
94%
80-81°F
90%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
95%
88°F or higher
22%
69°F or below 100%
82-83°F 100%
84-85°F 100%
86-87°F 95%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
69°F or below
$15 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
94%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
91%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
91%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
48%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
94%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
90%
82-83°F
$15 Vol.
100%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
95%
88°F or higher
$5 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest NWS guidance and model consensus point to an overnight low near 77°F for Austin on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 73–75°F, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and elevated moisture from an approaching tropical moisture plume further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing clear-sky heat loss. Minor forecast differences in cloud cover timing, shower coverage, or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 69–85°F bins, as even small shifts in these variables can alter the minimum by a few degrees. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest NWS guidance and model consensus point to an overnight low near 77°F for Austin on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 73–75°F, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and elevated moisture from an approaching tropical moisture plume further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing clear-sky heat loss. Minor forecast differences in cloud cover timing, shower coverage, or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 69–85°F bins, as even small shifts in these variables can alter the minimum by a few degrees. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NWS guidance and model consensus point to an overnight low near 77°F for Austin on September 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, high dew points near 73–75°F, and partly cloudy skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and elevated moisture from an approaching tropical moisture plume further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing clear-sky heat loss. Minor forecast differences in cloud cover timing, shower coverage, or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across 69–85°F bins, as even small shifts in these variables can alter the minimum by a few degrees. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine the exact low before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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