Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 28 show overnight lows clustering near 24–25 °C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. High humidity levels near 70–80 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, producing tropical-night conditions typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Official model runs converge on minimums between 24 °C and 26 °C, with historical late-August baselines around 23 °C providing limited additional guidance given current moisture. This scientific uncertainty over exact overnight cooling explains the near-even market-implied odds across the three leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 28?
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$152 Vol.
1%
20°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$172 Vol.
1%
22°C
$75 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2 Vol.
48%
24°C
$2 Vol.
48%
25°C
$2 Vol.
48%
26°C
$16 Vol.
48%
27°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$207 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 28 show overnight lows clustering near 24–25 °C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. High humidity levels near 70–80 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, producing tropical-night conditions typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Official model runs converge on minimums between 24 °C and 26 °C, with historical late-August baselines around 23 °C providing limited additional guidance given current moisture. This scientific uncertainty over exact overnight cooling explains the near-even market-implied odds across the three leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,055Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 28 show overnight lows clustering near 24–25 °C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. High humidity levels near 70–80 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, producing tropical-night conditions typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Official model runs converge on minimums between 24 °C and 26 °C, with historical late-August baselines around 23 °C providing limited additional guidance given current moisture. This scientific uncertainty over exact overnight cooling explains the near-even market-implied odds across the three leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,055Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 28 show overnight lows clustering near 24–25 °C amid widespread thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. High humidity levels near 70–80 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, producing tropical-night conditions typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Official model runs converge on minimums between 24 °C and 26 °C, with historical late-August baselines around 23 °C providing limited additional guidance given current moisture. This scientific uncertainty over exact overnight cooling explains the near-even market-implied odds across the three leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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