Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on September 13 points to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by a warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and no significant cold front passage, keeping surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average low of 50°F. This positions 60–61°F and adjacent bins as market leaders while the 76°F-or-higher outcome at 42.5% implied probability appears to reflect residual uncertainty in model spread or potential for localized urban heat effects. Traders are weighing the narrow window for final forecast adjustments before midnight, with any unexpected northerly shift or increased radiational cooling likely to favor cooler bins near 57°F or below.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Denver on September 13?
76°F or higher 87%
66-67°F 39%
60-61°F 31%
57°F or below 30%
57°F or below
30%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
13%
76°F or higher
87%
76°F or higher 87%
66-67°F 39%
60-61°F 31%
57°F or below 30%
57°F or below
30%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
31%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
13%
76°F or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Denver on September 13 points to an overnight low in the low-to-mid 60s, driven by a warm southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and no significant cold front passage, keeping surface temperatures well above the 1991–2020 average low of 50°F. This positions 60–61°F and adjacent bins as market leaders while the 76°F-or-higher outcome at 42.5% implied probability appears to reflect residual uncertainty in model spread or potential for localized urban heat effects. Traders are weighing the narrow window for final forecast adjustments before midnight, with any unexpected northerly shift or increased radiational cooling likely to favor cooler bins near 57°F or below.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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