Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the region. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (75–95%), and light winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping dew points elevated and supporting overnight lows near or slightly above the 26.7°C August climatological average. Current daytime readings around 29–31°C and model consensus indicate modest further cooling is likely, which aligns with market-implied probabilities heavily favoring 28°C (57%) or 27°C (23%) as the day’s low while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes. Updated forecast guidance and any late-day rain trends will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
28°C 42%
26°C 18%
27°C 14%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
23%
28°C
47%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
26°C 18%
27°C 14%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
23%
28°C
47%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 project a minimum of 27°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the region. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity (75–95%), and light winds have limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping dew points elevated and supporting overnight lows near or slightly above the 26.7°C August climatological average. Current daytime readings around 29–31°C and model consensus indicate modest further cooling is likely, which aligns with market-implied probabilities heavily favoring 28°C (57%) or 27°C (23%) as the day’s low while assigning lower odds to cooler outcomes. Updated forecast guidance and any late-day rain trends will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan