Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a minimum of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies combined with light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently. This consensus aligns with typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where May lows average near 23–25°C according to long-term climatological baselines. Trader positioning at near-100% for exactly 23°C reflects incorporation of early-morning observational data and narrow model agreement. Shifts in cloud cover or a strengthening of the monsoon trough could increase mixing and push the minimum above this threshold before final readings are recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
23°C 100.0%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$28,410 Vol.
$28,410 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
$28,410 Vol.
$28,410 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,089 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$672 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,816 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,393 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,748 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,338 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$795 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,366 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a minimum of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies combined with light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently. This consensus aligns with typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where May lows average near 23–25°C according to long-term climatological baselines. Trader positioning at near-100% for exactly 23°C reflects incorporation of early-morning observational data and narrow model agreement. Shifts in cloud cover or a strengthening of the monsoon trough could increase mixing and push the minimum above this threshold before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$28,410Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a minimum of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies combined with light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently. This consensus aligns with typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where May lows average near 23–25°C according to long-term climatological baselines. Trader positioning at near-100% for exactly 23°C reflects incorporation of early-morning observational data and narrow model agreement. Shifts in cloud cover or a strengthening of the monsoon trough could increase mixing and push the minimum above this threshold before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,410Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETCurrent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a minimum of 23°C for May 17, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies combined with light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows surface temperatures to drop efficiently. This consensus aligns with typical pre-monsoon conditions in the region, where May lows average near 23–25°C according to long-term climatological baselines. Trader positioning at near-100% for exactly 23°C reflects incorporation of early-morning observational data and narrow model agreement. Shifts in cloud cover or a strengthening of the monsoon trough could increase mixing and push the minimum above this threshold before final readings are recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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