Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance project a minimum temperature near 24°C tonight, driven by a persistent moist southerly airstream, extensive cloud cover, and relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent that sharply limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with mid-May climatological norms of 24–26°C for the urban station, where the urban heat-island effect further buffers against lower readings. Recent overnight observations have consistently held in the mid-20s, reinforcing trader consensus that outcomes below 22°C remain improbable without an unlikely clear-sky window. Short-range model updates through the evening will refine the final calibration ahead of the official minimum recording.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
24°C 86%
23°C 9%
22°C 1.4%
18°C or below <1%
$17,547 Vol.
$17,547 Vol.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
86%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 86%
23°C 9%
22°C 1.4%
18°C or below <1%
$17,547 Vol.
$17,547 Vol.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,579 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$877 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,620 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$798 Vol.
1%
23°C
$796 Vol.
9%
24°C
$544 Vol.
86%
25°C
$3,820 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,049 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,328 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,530 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance project a minimum temperature near 24°C tonight, driven by a persistent moist southerly airstream, extensive cloud cover, and relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent that sharply limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with mid-May climatological norms of 24–26°C for the urban station, where the urban heat-island effect further buffers against lower readings. Recent overnight observations have consistently held in the mid-20s, reinforcing trader consensus that outcomes below 22°C remain improbable without an unlikely clear-sky window. Short-range model updates through the evening will refine the final calibration ahead of the official minimum recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,547Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance project a minimum temperature near 24°C tonight, driven by a persistent moist southerly airstream, extensive cloud cover, and relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent that sharply limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with mid-May climatological norms of 24–26°C for the urban station, where the urban heat-island effect further buffers against lower readings. Recent overnight observations have consistently held in the mid-20s, reinforcing trader consensus that outcomes below 22°C remain improbable without an unlikely clear-sky window. Short-range model updates through the evening will refine the final calibration ahead of the official minimum recording.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,547Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance project a minimum temperature near 24°C tonight, driven by a persistent moist southerly airstream, extensive cloud cover, and relative humidity levels of 80–95 percent that sharply limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with mid-May climatological norms of 24–26°C for the urban station, where the urban heat-island effect further buffers against lower readings. Recent overnight observations have consistently held in the mid-20s, reinforcing trader consensus that outcomes below 22°C remain improbable without an unlikely clear-sky window. Short-range model updates through the evening will refine the final calibration ahead of the official minimum recording.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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