**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models points to a daily minimum of 26–27 °C on September 7, with light winds, high humidity (65–95 %), and scattered showers under a broad cloud band keeping overnight temperatures elevated.** Typical maritime tropical air and sea-surface temperatures near 26 °C limit radiative cooling, while the absence of a northeast monsoon surge (expected only after the 10th) prevents sharper drops. Model spreads and local microclimate differences around the Observatory site create genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, explaining their near-even market-implied odds. Updated official guidance or the next model cycle could shift the precise minimum within the 25–28 °C band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
26°C 41%
27°C 41%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
41%
27°C
41%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 41%
27°C 41%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$308 Vol.
13%
26°C
$56 Vol.
41%
27°C
$166 Vol.
41%
28°C
$29 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models points to a daily minimum of 26–27 °C on September 7, with light winds, high humidity (65–95 %), and scattered showers under a broad cloud band keeping overnight temperatures elevated.**
Typical maritime tropical air and sea-surface temperatures near 26 °C limit radiative cooling, while the absence of a northeast monsoon surge (expected only after the 10th) prevents sharper drops. Model spreads and local microclimate differences around the Observatory site create genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, explaining their near-even market-implied odds. Updated official guidance or the next model cycle could shift the precise minimum within the 25–28 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$560Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models points to a daily minimum of 26–27 °C on September 7, with light winds, high humidity (65–95 %), and scattered showers under a broad cloud band keeping overnight temperatures elevated.**
Typical maritime tropical air and sea-surface temperatures near 26 °C limit radiative cooling, while the absence of a northeast monsoon surge (expected only after the 10th) prevents sharper drops. Model spreads and local microclimate differences around the Observatory site create genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, explaining their near-even market-implied odds. Updated official guidance or the next model cycle could shift the precise minimum within the 25–28 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$560Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models points to a daily minimum of 26–27 °C on September 7, with light winds, high humidity (65–95 %), and scattered showers under a broad cloud band keeping overnight temperatures elevated.** Typical maritime tropical air and sea-surface temperatures near 26 °C limit radiative cooling, while the absence of a northeast monsoon surge (expected only after the 10th) prevents sharper drops. Model spreads and local microclimate differences around the Observatory site create genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes, explaining their near-even market-implied odds. Updated official guidance or the next model cycle could shift the precise minimum within the 25–28 °C band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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