Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Istanbul on September 10 are sustaining mild overnight lows, with multiple models and station forecasts indicating a minimum near 20–22°C under light to moderate northeasterly winds. Clear conditions limit radiative cooling while the urban heat island and proximity to the Bosporus moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent daily minima of 18–21°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 20–22°C capture this narrow uncertainty band across GFS, ECMWF, and local guidance, as small variations in wind speed, humidity, or exact measurement timing at official stations can shift the recorded low by 1°C. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?
19°C 99%
21°C 50%
20°C 47%
17°C or below <1%
$907 Vol.
$907 Vol.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
47%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99%
21°C 50%
20°C 47%
17°C or below <1%
$907 Vol.
$907 Vol.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
47%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Istanbul on September 10 are sustaining mild overnight lows, with multiple models and station forecasts indicating a minimum near 20–22°C under light to moderate northeasterly winds. Clear conditions limit radiative cooling while the urban heat island and proximity to the Bosporus moderate temperature drops, consistent with recent daily minima of 18–21°C. The closely matched market-implied odds around 20–22°C capture this narrow uncertainty band across GFS, ECMWF, and local guidance, as small variations in wind speed, humidity, or exact measurement timing at official stations can shift the recorded low by 1°C. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the pattern before dawn.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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