Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah stabilizing near 30–31°C on September 15, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those thresholds. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal position provides moderating maritime influence that limits nocturnal cooling compared to inland desert areas, while September's typical high humidity and light winds further suppress temperature drops. Historical September minima average 27–29°C, but current conditions show slightly elevated baselines consistent with ongoing seasonal warmth. Traders appear to weigh official meteorological guidance and real-time observations most heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 28°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of stronger radiative cooling or atypical wind shifts under stable high-pressure patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 15?
29°C 36%
27°C 10%
28°C 10%
26°C or below 2%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
36%
30°C
42%
31°C
51%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
27°C 10%
28°C 10%
26°C or below 2%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
36%
30°C
42%
31°C
51%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Jeddah stabilizing near 30–31°C on September 15, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those thresholds. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal position provides moderating maritime influence that limits nocturnal cooling compared to inland desert areas, while September's typical high humidity and light winds further suppress temperature drops. Historical September minima average 27–29°C, but current conditions show slightly elevated baselines consistent with ongoing seasonal warmth. Traders appear to weigh official meteorological guidance and real-time observations most heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to 28°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of stronger radiative cooling or atypical wind shifts under stable high-pressure patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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