Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 21, 2026, from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate nighttime lows of 23–25°C under typical late-summer conditions with light winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with historical August averages near 24°C and supports the 92% market-implied probability for a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. The dominant trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent warm advection without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest ensemble runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Jinan on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 21?
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
16°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
99%
22°C or higher 99%
20°C 3%
15°C 2%
16°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
$155 Vol.
1%
13°C
$166 Vol.
1%
14°C
$136 Vol.
1%
15°C
$61 Vol.
2%
16°C
$78 Vol.
2%
17°C
$139 Vol.
2%
18°C
$139 Vol.
2%
19°C
$62 Vol.
2%
20°C
$122 Vol.
3%
21°C
$102 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$447 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 21, 2026, from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate nighttime lows of 23–25°C under typical late-summer conditions with light winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with historical August averages near 24°C and supports the 92% market-implied probability for a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. The dominant trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent warm advection without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest ensemble runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,604Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 21, 2026, from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate nighttime lows of 23–25°C under typical late-summer conditions with light winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with historical August averages near 24°C and supports the 92% market-implied probability for a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. The dominant trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent warm advection without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest ensemble runs.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,604Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Jinan on August 21, 2026, from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate nighttime lows of 23–25°C under typical late-summer conditions with light winds and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with historical August averages near 24°C and supports the 92% market-implied probability for a daily minimum of 22°C or higher. The dominant trader consensus reflects strong model agreement on persistent warm advection without significant cooling influences. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted cold front or prolonged heavy precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest ensemble runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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