Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project clear skies and southwesterly winds over Jinan on September 15, supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C after a daytime peak around 32–33°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September patterns in the North China Plain, where radiative cooling under low humidity and light winds can produce minima several degrees below regional averages. Trader emphasis on the 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability, alongside elevated odds for 12–14°C, reflects uncertainty in official station readings, potential urban heat island effects, or slight model variations in boundary-layer temperatures. Upcoming real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market as the night progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Jinan on September 15?
12°C or below 90%
16°C 2%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
12°C or below
90%
13°C
-
14°C
-
15°C
-
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 90%
16°C 2%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
12°C or below
90%
13°C
-
14°C
-
15°C
-
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project clear skies and southwesterly winds over Jinan on September 15, supporting overnight lows near 20–22°C after a daytime peak around 32–33°C. These conditions align with typical mid-September patterns in the North China Plain, where radiative cooling under low humidity and light winds can produce minima several degrees below regional averages. Trader emphasis on the 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability, alongside elevated odds for 12–14°C, reflects uncertainty in official station readings, potential urban heat island effects, or slight model variations in boundary-layer temperatures. Upcoming real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market as the night progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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