Trader consensus around 50% for several temperature thresholds on September 2 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Karachi's overnight minimum just days ahead. Primary drivers include the timing of monsoon withdrawal, variable cloud cover that modulates nighttime radiative cooling, and the strength of the sea breeze from the Arabian Sea, which can moderate lows. High humidity and urban heat retention further complicate minimum readings. Ensemble models show spread due to potential weak low-pressure systems or clearer skies, with historical September baselines near 25–28°C. Updated National Weather Service or Pakistan Meteorological Department runs on September 1 will likely sharpen resolution criteria around exact minimum thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Karachi on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 2?
21°C or below 100%
23°C 100%
31°C or higher 100%
22°C 99%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
100%
22°C
99%
23°C
100%
24°C
99%
25°C
99%
26°C
99%
27°C
99%
28°C
98%
29°C
99%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
100%
21°C or below 100%
23°C 100%
31°C or higher 100%
22°C 99%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
100%
22°C
$5 Vol.
99%
23°C
$5 Vol.
100%
24°C
$6 Vol.
99%
25°C
$5 Vol.
99%
26°C
$0 Vol.
99%
27°C
$0 Vol.
99%
28°C
$0 Vol.
98%
29°C
$5 Vol.
99%
30°C
$5 Vol.
15%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 50% for several temperature thresholds on September 2 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Karachi's overnight minimum just days ahead. Primary drivers include the timing of monsoon withdrawal, variable cloud cover that modulates nighttime radiative cooling, and the strength of the sea breeze from the Arabian Sea, which can moderate lows. High humidity and urban heat retention further complicate minimum readings. Ensemble models show spread due to potential weak low-pressure systems or clearer skies, with historical September baselines near 25–28°C. Updated National Weather Service or Pakistan Meteorological Department runs on September 1 will likely sharpen resolution criteria around exact minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$41Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 50% for several temperature thresholds on September 2 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Karachi's overnight minimum just days ahead. Primary drivers include the timing of monsoon withdrawal, variable cloud cover that modulates nighttime radiative cooling, and the strength of the sea breeze from the Arabian Sea, which can moderate lows. High humidity and urban heat retention further complicate minimum readings. Ensemble models show spread due to potential weak low-pressure systems or clearer skies, with historical September baselines near 25–28°C. Updated National Weather Service or Pakistan Meteorological Department runs on September 1 will likely sharpen resolution criteria around exact minimum thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 50% for several temperature thresholds on September 2 reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for Karachi's overnight minimum just days ahead. Primary drivers include the timing of monsoon withdrawal, variable cloud cover that modulates nighttime radiative cooling, and the strength of the sea breeze from the Arabian Sea, which can moderate lows. High humidity and urban heat retention further complicate minimum readings. Ensemble models show spread due to potential weak low-pressure systems or clearer skies, with historical September baselines near 25–28°C. Updated National Weather Service or Pakistan Meteorological Department runs on September 1 will likely sharpen resolution criteria around exact minimum thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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