Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for London on August 26, driven by a southerly airflow advecting warmer air masses under increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Surface observations from recent days show temperatures holding above seasonal averages due to weak pressure gradients and minimal wind shear, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any incoming frontal systems, though historical August climatology supports lows rarely falling below 15°C without stronger northerly outbreaks. Updated model runs and real-time buoy data expected overnight will refine resolution criteria based on official London station readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 26?
18°C 50%
19°C 27%
17°C 13%
16°C 5%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 50%
19°C 27%
17°C 13%
16°C 5%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and ECMWF consensus indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for London on August 26, driven by a southerly airflow advecting warmer air masses under increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Surface observations from recent days show temperatures holding above seasonal averages due to weak pressure gradients and minimal wind shear, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any incoming frontal systems, though historical August climatology supports lows rarely falling below 15°C without stronger northerly outbreaks. Updated model runs and real-time buoy data expected overnight will refine resolution criteria based on official London station readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan