Heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover forecast for Lucknow on September 1–3 represent the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with official alerts highlighting thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling and sustain elevated dew points near 24–26°C. High atmospheric moisture and widespread convection suppress typical nighttime temperature drops, favoring minimums clustered around 25–26°C over the market’s 29°C option, though brief clear spells could allow slightly lower readings. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows tight clustering near these thresholds amid variable rain timing, creating the observed near-even split in implied probabilities. Updated IMD guidance and overnight observations on September 1 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 2?
23°C 95%
25°C 95%
27°C 29%
28°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
17%
23°C
95%
24°C
27%
25°C
95%
26°C
46%
27°C
29%
28°C
29%
29°C
18%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
2%
23°C 95%
25°C 95%
27°C 29%
28°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$5 Vol.
17%
23°C
$15 Vol.
95%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
95%
26°C
$24 Vol.
46%
27°C
$1 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$5 Vol.
18%
30°C
$5 Vol.
13%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover forecast for Lucknow on September 1–3 represent the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with official alerts highlighting thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling and sustain elevated dew points near 24–26°C. High atmospheric moisture and widespread convection suppress typical nighttime temperature drops, favoring minimums clustered around 25–26°C over the market’s 29°C option, though brief clear spells could allow slightly lower readings. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows tight clustering near these thresholds amid variable rain timing, creating the observed near-even split in implied probabilities. Updated IMD guidance and overnight observations on September 1 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$65Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover forecast for Lucknow on September 1–3 represent the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with official alerts highlighting thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling and sustain elevated dew points near 24–26°C. High atmospheric moisture and widespread convection suppress typical nighttime temperature drops, favoring minimums clustered around 25–26°C over the market’s 29°C option, though brief clear spells could allow slightly lower readings. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows tight clustering near these thresholds amid variable rain timing, creating the observed near-even split in implied probabilities. Updated IMD guidance and overnight observations on September 1 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover forecast for Lucknow on September 1–3 represent the dominant driver of trader sentiment, with official alerts highlighting thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling and sustain elevated dew points near 24–26°C. High atmospheric moisture and widespread convection suppress typical nighttime temperature drops, favoring minimums clustered around 25–26°C over the market’s 29°C option, though brief clear spells could allow slightly lower readings. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows tight clustering near these thresholds amid variable rain timing, creating the observed near-even split in implied probabilities. Updated IMD guidance and overnight observations on September 1 will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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