Recent model consensus from European and global forecasts points to a frontal system delivering widespread rain and northeasterly flow across northern Italy on September 10, which is expected to cap daytime maxima near 19–23 °C while limiting overnight radiative cooling. This yields projected minimum temperatures of roughly 17–19 °C, consistent with current ECMWF and GFS guidance showing persistent cloud cover and light winds that reduce the typical nocturnal drop. Traders appear to assign meaningful implied probability to outcomes at or below 16 °C because model spread remains notable near the 15–18 °C threshold and because September climatology for Milan includes occasional cooler nights when similar synoptic patterns occur. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments from national meteorological services will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
12°C or below 84%
16°C 28%
15°C 25%
17°C 24%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
84%
13°C
13%
14°C
21%
15°C
25%
16°C
28%
17°C
24%
18°C
14%
19°C
10%
20°C
5%
21°C
20%
22°C or higher
12%
12°C or below 84%
16°C 28%
15°C 25%
17°C 24%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
$75 Vol.
84%
13°C
$0 Vol.
13%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
24%
18°C
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$169 Vol.
5%
21°C
$25 Vol.
20%
22°C or higher
$75 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global forecasts points to a frontal system delivering widespread rain and northeasterly flow across northern Italy on September 10, which is expected to cap daytime maxima near 19–23 °C while limiting overnight radiative cooling. This yields projected minimum temperatures of roughly 17–19 °C, consistent with current ECMWF and GFS guidance showing persistent cloud cover and light winds that reduce the typical nocturnal drop. Traders appear to assign meaningful implied probability to outcomes at or below 16 °C because model spread remains notable near the 15–18 °C threshold and because September climatology for Milan includes occasional cooler nights when similar synoptic patterns occur. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments from national meteorological services will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$344Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European and global forecasts points to a frontal system delivering widespread rain and northeasterly flow across northern Italy on September 10, which is expected to cap daytime maxima near 19–23 °C while limiting overnight radiative cooling. This yields projected minimum temperatures of roughly 17–19 °C, consistent with current ECMWF and GFS guidance showing persistent cloud cover and light winds that reduce the typical nocturnal drop. Traders appear to assign meaningful implied probability to outcomes at or below 16 °C because model spread remains notable near the 15–18 °C threshold and because September climatology for Milan includes occasional cooler nights when similar synoptic patterns occur. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments from national meteorological services will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$344Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European and global forecasts points to a frontal system delivering widespread rain and northeasterly flow across northern Italy on September 10, which is expected to cap daytime maxima near 19–23 °C while limiting overnight radiative cooling. This yields projected minimum temperatures of roughly 17–19 °C, consistent with current ECMWF and GFS guidance showing persistent cloud cover and light winds that reduce the typical nocturnal drop. Traders appear to assign meaningful implied probability to outcomes at or below 16 °C because model spread remains notable near the 15–18 °C threshold and because September climatology for Milan includes occasional cooler nights when similar synoptic patterns occur. Updated runs and any last-minute adjustments from national meteorological services will be the key near-term drivers of further shifts in market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan